Sales Down 2.3% in April, SAAR Falls Below 17 Million
The annual forecast for U.S. light-vehicle sales fell to 16.41 million as volume fell 2.3% year-over-year in an April that was expected to bring the year’s first gain following an underwhelming first quarter.

Sales of the Genesis brand improved by an industry-best 56% in April, helping to offset a weak month and start to 2019 for the U.S. auto retail industry.
Photo courtesy Hyundai Motor Co.
(Bobit) — U.S. new-vehicle dealers sold 1,328,649 cars and light trucks in April, a 2.3% year-over-year decline and a full 3% loss to start the year compared with the first four months of 2018, according to manufacturer reports and estimates compiled by Automotive News.
Forecasters who predicted the year’s first big gain were roundly disappointed. The slow start to 2019 knocked the seasonally adjusted annualized selling rate down to 16.4 million. That’s the lowest SAAR since February 2014 and a weak start to the traditionally reliable spring sales season.
Experts blamed escalating average transaction prices — a 2019 high of $36,718 in April, according to Edmunds — as well as the usual suspects of higher interest rates and rapidly declining interest in cars. Sales of sedans, coupes, and hatchbacks were down 7.9% year-over-year; light truck sales increased by 0.3%.
“Robust employment conditions and a strong stock market didn’t seem to be enough to lift sales last month,” said Charlie Chesbrough, senior economist at Cox Automotive. “Market forecasters have been expecting the market to slow as higher vehicle prices and higher borrowing costs squeeze many potential buyers. And indeed, the sales lion that surprised many in March became a much weaker lamb in April, as revealed in today’s numbers.
“Prior to April, retail sales had been in decline while fleet showed gains. Fleet activity, however, appears to have slowed in April, bucking the trend we saw in the first quarter,” Chesbrough added; fleet sales totaled 325,000 units for the month, 2.6% more than in April 2018.
Among the nation’s largest-volume producers, Fiat Chrysler (-6.1%), Ford (-4.7%), Toyota (-4.4%), and General Motors (-2.6%) fell hardest. FCA felt the burn of tapering Jeep sales (-7.6%) and losses in its Chrysler (-37%), Fiat (-34%), and Dodge (-24%) divisions; however, Ram sales improved by a full 25%. Mini (-30%), Audi (-21%), and Mazda and Mercedes-Benz (both -15%) also suffered notable declines.
The runaway winner in year-over-year sales was Genesis, which enjoyed a 56% gain in April, followed by Land Rover (11%), Nissan (9%), Subaru (7.7%), and Jaguar (6.3%).
Honda, Nissan, and Subaru led increased incentive spending for the month, averaging 17.5% more than a year ago, but ALG and J.D. Power both reported reduced incentives industrywide.
To read the full Automotive News report, click here.
More Dealer Ops

Ladies and Gentlemen, This Is a Dealership: Why the Fundamentals Still Decide Who Wins
A teaching moment by a legendary football coach happens to apply perfectly in the auto retail space. Learn what it is and how to use it to your store’s advantage.
Read More →
Timing the Market Can Hurt Long-Term Program Performance
For dealer-owned reinsurance entities, avoiding volatility entirely can mean falling behind inflation and missing market rebounds that drive long term surplus growth. Missing just a handful of strong market days can materially impact cumulative returns—an important reminder for long horizon trust and investment strategies.
Read More →
Dealer Ads and the FTC
The agency has made it clear in recent enforcement actions and warnings, in auto retail and other industries, that advertised prices must include all nonoptional costs to the consumer.
Read More →
Used Autos Supply Dwindles
The March shopping surge, despite high prices, cut into inventory by the most since the thick of the pandemic, Cox Automotive analysts calculated.
Read More →
Managing Risk Effectively Through Changing Times
The variables influencing risk pricing have changed significantly over the past five years. Being proactive and responsive to emerging trends is not optional but essential.
Read More →
Survey Reveals What Won't Fix What's Breaking Car Sales
AutoPayPlus says extra-long auto loans are trapping consumers and threatening the dealer trade-in cycle, and that the industry is leveraging the wrong tools to combat high MSRPs.
Read More →
IA American Appoints Two Execs
Senior vice presidents of the company's agent and dealer channels chosen to support general agents and help auto dealers with sales and performance.
Read More →
Cox Automotive Acquires Inspection Firm
Full ownership of Alliance Inspection Management, or AiM, meant to unlock growth for Manheim inspection capabilities
Read More →
Assurant Expands Partnership With Holman
Extended collaboration delivers training, products and performance development to 30 newly acquired Holman dealerships
Read More →
Franchises, Throughput Down in First Half
A handful of states see franchise growth through June, while EV sales per store boost overall business in U.S.
Read More →