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U.S. dealers sold slightly fewer new vehicles last month than in May of 2018, but the annual forecast increased to 17.4 million units — thanks in no small part to strong fleet sales.
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The annual forecast for U.S. light-vehicle sales fell to 16.41 million as volume fell 2.3% year-over-year in an April that was expected to bring the year’s first gain following an underwhelming first quarter.
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Edmunds analysts say it keeps getting harder for shoppers to afford a new car as prices continue to rise and interest rates remain elevated.
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Edmunds says the average APR for a U.S. new-vehicle loan was 6.36% in March, putting dealers and consumers on the cusp of a ‘dramatic shift’ toward the used-car market.
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With September in the books, Edmunds reported this week that interest rates have stayed above 5% for eight months in a row and now mirror levels not seen since before the Great Recession.
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Two years ago, zero percent finance deals accounted for 14.6% of transactions. Last month, they only accounted for 7.4%. Edmunds analysts point to higher interest rates as one of the reasons for the scarcity in zero percent finance deals in August.
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June’s annual percentage rate of 5.82% marked a 17% increase since January 2018. Add rising rates to a virtually saturated U.S. market, record-high vehicle prices, and historically high numbers of people who owe more than their cars are worth, and the stage is set for a market contraction, the firm said.
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Although shoppers continue to flock toward pricier trucks and SUVs, steadily rising gas prices are beginning to stimulate consumer demand and increase residual values for smaller vehicles.
Read More →Edmunds analysts say the industry is beginning to see the trickle-down effect from the rate increases happening at the federal level. February's annual percentage rate on new finance vehicles was expected to average 5.2%, up from 4.9% in the year-ago period.
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Thanks to a tight supply of late-model used vehicles, values don’t dramatically drop once the odometer crosses six figures, according to a new report from vehicle information site.
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