LAWRENCEVILLE, Ga. – Black Book, a division of Hearst that provides industry-leading used vehicle valuation and residual value forecast solutions, released its Used Vehicle Retention Index for August 2020 (129.0), a +3.0 point change from July (126.0). Click here to obtain a copy of the latest index data.
We expect the weakening of the market in the next several months as the economy remains weak and there is an expected glut of used supply.
“Wholesale prices continued to grow across all segments in August,” said Alex Yurchenko, Senior Vice President, Data Science. “The increases were much smaller than in July, and by the end of the month, prices reached their peak. We expect the weakening of the market in the next several months as the economy remains weak and there is an expected glut of used supply.”
The Black Book Used Vehicle Retention Index is calculated using Black Book’s published Wholesale Average value on two- to six-year-old used vehicles, as percent of original typically-equipped MSRP. It is weighted based on registration volume and adjusted for seasonality, vehicle age, mileage, and condition. The Index offers an accurate, representative, and unbiased view of the strength of today’s used vehicle market values.
The Index dates to January 2005, where Black Book published a benchmark index value of 100.0 for the market. During 2008, the index dropped by 14.1% while during 2016, the index fell by just 6.4%. During 2011, the index rose strongly from 113.3 to 123.0 by the end of the year as the economy picked up steam and used vehicle values rose higher. It continued to remain relatively stable, rising slightly until May of 2014 when it hit a peak of 128.1.
To obtain a copy of the latest Black Book Wholesale Value Index, please click here.